Early Downs › Week 11

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders: Week 11 preview

• The Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) visit the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) on Mon, Nov 23 · 8:15 PM ET.
• The Bengals offense ranks 6th in EPA per play (+0.11); the Commanders defense ranks 25th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Bengals edges: 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, non-explosive EPA per play, passing success rate. The Commanders defense holds the edge in explosive run rate, explosive play rate.
• The Commanders offense ranks 18th in EPA per play (−0.01); the Bengals defense ranks 11th (−0.03 allowed). The Bengals defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, stuff rate, non-explosive EPA per play.
• Luck check: the Bengals have been a bit lucky (+1.0 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Commanders have been lucky (+1.5 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 128 total snaps, close to a typical game.