Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers: Week 11 preview

The Minnesota Vikings (6-0) visit the San Francisco 49ers (6-1) on Sun, Nov 22 · 8:20 PM ET.
The Vikings offense ranks 30th in EPA per play (−0.10); the 49ers defense ranks 8th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Vikings edges: havoc rate. The 49ers defense holds the edge in EPA per designed run, early-down EPA, EPA per play.
The 49ers offense ranks 2nd in EPA per play (+0.15); the Vikings defense ranks 1st (−0.22 allowed). Biggest 49ers edges: explosive run rate, explosive play rate.
Blitz watch: the Vikings blitz on 71% of dropbacks (1st most), but the 49ers are one of the best offenses against the blitz (+0.31 EPA per dropback, 4th).
Luck check: the Vikings have been lucky (+2.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the 49ers have been unlucky (−2.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 123 total snaps, 6 fewer than a typical game.