New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears: Week 11 preview

The New Orleans Saints (2-5) visit the Chicago Bears (5-2) on Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Saints offense ranks 21st in EPA per play (−0.03); the Bears defense ranks 14th (−0.02 allowed). The Bears defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, average 3rd-down distance, explosive run rate.
The Bears offense ranks 11th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Saints defense ranks 26th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest Bears edges: opportunity rate, explosive pass rate, line yards per carry. The Saints defense holds the edge in sack rate.
Luck check: the Saints have been unlucky (−2.4 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps, close to a typical game.