Early Downs › Week 12

Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings: Week 12 preview

• The Atlanta Falcons (3-4) visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-0) on Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Vikings defense ranks 1st (−0.22 allowed). Biggest Falcons edges: explosive run rate. The Vikings defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, non-explosive EPA per play, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate.
• The Vikings offense ranks 30th in EPA per play (−0.10); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). The Falcons defense holds the edge in early-down EPA, EPA per play, non-explosive EPA per play.
• Luck check: the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Vikings have been lucky (+2.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps, 3 fewer than a typical game.
• Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.