Early Downs › Week 12

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans: Week 12 preview

• The Baltimore Ravens (4-3) visit the Houston Texans (2-5) on Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Ravens offense ranks 8th in EPA per play (+0.07); the Texans defense ranks 24th (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Ravens edges: EPA per designed run, EPA per play, explosive pass rate. The Texans defense holds the edge in sack rate.
• The Texans offense ranks 13th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Ravens defense ranks 19th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Texans edges: havoc rate, explosive pass rate. The Ravens defense holds the edge in opportunity rate, explosive run rate, line yards per carry.
• Luck check: the Ravens have been a bit unlucky (−1.1 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Texans have been a bit lucky (+1.2 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 128 total snaps, close to a typical game.