Early Downs › Week 12

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Week 12 preview

• The Carolina Panthers (3-3) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) on Mon, Nov 30 · 8:15 PM ET.
• The Panthers offense ranks 12th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Buccaneers defense ranks 3rd (−0.11 allowed). The Buccaneers defense holds the edge in stuff rate, average 3rd-down distance, passing success rate.
• The Buccaneers offense ranks 28th in EPA per play (−0.08); the Panthers defense ranks 20th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Buccaneers edges: EPA per designed run, opportunity rate, line yards per carry. The Panthers defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate, yards per dropback, explosive play rate.
• Blitz watch: the Panthers blitz on 37% of dropbacks (8th most), and the Buccaneers struggle against it (−0.18 EPA per dropback, 26th).
• Luck check: the Buccaneers have been a bit lucky (+0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps, 2 more than a typical game.