Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills: Week 12 preview

The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) visit the Buffalo Bills (5-1) on Thu, Nov 26 · 8:20 PM ET.
The Chiefs offense ranks 7th in EPA per play (+0.10); the Bills defense ranks 31st (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Chiefs edges: EPA per play, sack rate, EPA per designed run.
The Bills offense ranks 1st in EPA per play (+0.21); the Chiefs defense ranks 5th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Bills edges: 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, yards per dropback, sack rate. The Chiefs defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance.
Luck check: the Bills have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps, 3 more than a typical game.