New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers: Week 12 preview

The New England Patriots (4-3) visit the Los Angeles Chargers (0-6) on Sun, Nov 29 · 8:20 PM ET.
The Patriots offense ranks 10th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Chargers defense ranks 10th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Patriots edges: yards per dropback, passing success rate, explosive pass rate. The Chargers defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, EPA per designed run, opportunity rate.
The Chargers offense ranks 32nd in EPA per play (−0.21); the Patriots defense ranks 18th (+0.02 allowed). The Patriots defense holds the edge in 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, sack rate, non-explosive EPA per play.
Blitz watch: the Patriots blitz on 39% of dropbacks (6th most), and the Chargers struggle against it (−0.28 EPA per dropback, 31st).
Luck check: the Chargers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, close to a typical game.
Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.