Early Downs › Week 12

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 12 preview

• The Tennessee Titans (1-6) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) on Sun, Nov 29 · 4:05 PM ET.
• The Titans offense ranks 31st in EPA per play (−0.12); the Jaguars defense ranks 15th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Titans edges: sack rate, stuff rate, havoc rate. The Jaguars defense holds the edge in non-explosive EPA per play, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, opportunity rate.
• The Jaguars offense ranks 5th in EPA per play (+0.12); the Titans defense ranks 23rd (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Jaguars edges: explosive pass rate, yards per dropback, passing success rate. The Titans defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance.
• Luck check: the Jaguars have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 125 total snaps, 4 fewer than a typical game.