Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings: Week 13 preview

The Carolina Panthers (3-3) visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-0) on Sun, Dec 6 · 4:25 PM ET.
The Panthers offense ranks 12th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Vikings defense ranks 1st (−0.22 allowed). Biggest Panthers edges: explosive run rate. The Vikings defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, passing success rate, sack rate.
The Vikings offense ranks 30th in EPA per play (−0.10); the Panthers defense ranks 20th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Vikings edges: explosive run rate, stuff rate, havoc rate. The Panthers defense holds the edge in passing success rate, yards per dropback, explosive pass rate.
Blitz watch: the Panthers blitz on 37% of dropbacks (8th most), and the Vikings struggle against it (−0.17 EPA per dropback, 25th).
Luck check: the Vikings have been lucky (+2.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps, close to a typical game.
Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.