Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons: Week 13 preview

The Detroit Lions (4-2) visit the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) on Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Lions offense ranks 3rd in EPA per play (+0.14); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Lions edges: rushing success rate, non-explosive EPA per play, sack rate. The Falcons defense holds the edge in stuff rate, havoc rate, EPA per designed run.
The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Lions defense ranks 32nd (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Falcons edges: EPA per designed run, explosive pass rate, explosive play rate. The Lions defense holds the edge in sack rate.
Luck check: the Lions have been lucky (+3.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 136 total snaps, 7 more than a typical game.