Early Downs › Week 13

Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints: Week 13 preview

• The Green Bay Packers (4-3) visit the New Orleans Saints (2-5) on Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Packers offense ranks 17th in EPA per play (−0.00); the Saints defense ranks 26th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest Packers edges: explosive pass rate, explosive play rate, EPA per dropback.
• The Saints offense ranks 21st in EPA per play (−0.03); the Packers defense ranks 12th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Saints edges: 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Packers defense holds the edge in explosive play rate, explosive run rate, early-down EPA.
• Luck check: the Packers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Saints have been unlucky (−2.4 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps, 4 more than a typical game.
• Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.