Early Downs › Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams: Week 13 preview

• The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) visit the Los Angeles Rams (3-4) on Thu, Dec 3 · 8:15 PM ET.
• The Chiefs offense ranks 7th in EPA per play (+0.10); the Rams defense ranks 6th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Chiefs edges: average 3rd-down distance, sack rate, explosive run rate. The Rams defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate.
• The Rams offense ranks 9th in EPA per play (+0.06); the Chiefs defense ranks 5th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Rams edges: sack rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, stuff rate. The Chiefs defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate, EPA per dropback.
• Luck check: the Rams have been unlucky (−1.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps, 3 more than a typical game.
• Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.