Early Downs › Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Week 13 preview

• The Los Angeles Chargers (0-6) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) on Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Chargers offense ranks 32nd in EPA per play (−0.21); the Buccaneers defense ranks 3rd (−0.11 allowed). The Buccaneers defense holds the edge in non-explosive EPA per play, EPA per play, EPA per dropback.
• The Buccaneers offense ranks 28th in EPA per play (−0.08); the Chargers defense ranks 10th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Buccaneers edges: explosive run rate, stuff rate, line yards per carry. The Chargers defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, non-explosive EPA per play, EPA per play.
• Blitz watch: the Buccaneers blitz on 41% of dropbacks (5th most), and the Chargers struggle against it (−0.28 EPA per dropback, 31st).
• Luck check: the Chargers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Buccaneers have been a bit lucky (+0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, close to a typical game.