Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns: Week 14 preview

The Atlanta Falcons (3-4) visit the Cleveland Browns (5-2) on Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Browns defense ranks 9th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Falcons edges: rushing success rate, explosive run rate, line yards per carry. The Browns defense holds the edge in non-explosive EPA per play, EPA per dropback, passing success rate.
The Browns offense ranks 24th in EPA per play (−0.04); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). The Falcons defense holds the edge in havoc rate, stuff rate, explosive run rate.
Luck check: the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Browns have been a bit unlucky (−0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps, close to a typical game.