Early Downs › Week 14

Denver Broncos at New York Jets: Week 14 preview

• The Denver Broncos (5-2) visit the New York Jets (2-5) on Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Broncos offense ranks 23rd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Jets defense ranks 17th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Broncos edges: stuff rate, average 3rd-down distance, havoc rate. The Jets defense holds the edge in yards per dropback, explosive play rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate.
• The Jets offense ranks 16th in EPA per play (+0.01); the Broncos defense ranks 4th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Jets edges: explosive run rate. The Broncos defense holds the edge in sack rate, yards per dropback, havoc rate.
• Blitz watch: the Jets blitz on 38% of dropbacks (7th most), and the Broncos struggle against it (−0.19 EPA per dropback, 28th).
• Luck check: the Broncos have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps, close to a typical game.