Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles: Week 14 preview

The Indianapolis Colts (2-5) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) on Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Colts offense ranks 27th in EPA per play (−0.06); the Eagles defense ranks 27th (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Colts edges: EPA per designed run, rushing success rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Eagles defense holds the edge in early-down EPA, yards per dropback, explosive play rate.
The Eagles offense ranks 29th in EPA per play (−0.09); the Colts defense ranks 21st (+0.03 allowed). The Colts defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, passing success rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate.
Luck check: the Colts have been a bit unlucky (−1.0 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps, close to a typical game.