Early Downs › Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 14 preview

• The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) on Mon, Dec 14 · 8:15 PM ET.
• The Steelers offense ranks 20th in EPA per play (−0.03); the Jaguars defense ranks 15th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Steelers edges: stuff rate. The Jaguars defense holds the edge in non-explosive EPA per play, EPA per dropback, early-down EPA.
• The Jaguars offense ranks 5th in EPA per play (+0.12); the Steelers defense ranks 7th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Jaguars edges: explosive play rate, explosive pass rate, explosive run rate. The Steelers defense holds the edge in havoc rate, opportunity rate, line yards per carry.
• Luck check: the Jaguars have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps, 3 fewer than a typical game.