Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys: Week 16 preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) visit the Dallas Cowboys (3-4) on Sun, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET.
The Jaguars offense ranks 5th in EPA per play (+0.12); the Cowboys defense ranks 30th (+0.14 allowed). Biggest Jaguars edges: EPA per dropback, explosive play rate, passing success rate.
The Cowboys offense ranks 4th in EPA per play (+0.14); the Jaguars defense ranks 15th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Cowboys edges: sack rate, yards per dropback, passing success rate. The Jaguars defense holds the edge in explosive run rate, explosive play rate, line yards per carry.
Luck check: the Jaguars have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Cowboys have been a bit unlucky (−1.3 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps, close to a typical game.