San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs: Week 16 preview

The San Francisco 49ers (6-1) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) on Sun, Dec 27 · 4:25 PM ET.
The 49ers offense ranks 2nd in EPA per play (+0.15); the Chiefs defense ranks 5th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest 49ers edges: sack rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, yards per dropback.
The Chiefs offense ranks 7th in EPA per play (+0.10); the 49ers defense ranks 8th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Chiefs edges: havoc rate, sack rate, rushing success rate. The 49ers defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate.
Luck check: the 49ers have been unlucky (−2.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, close to a typical game.