Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers: Week 17 preview

The Houston Texans (2-5) visit the Green Bay Packers (4-3) on Mon, Jan 4 · 8:15 PM ET.
The Texans offense ranks 13th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Packers defense ranks 12th (−0.03 allowed). The Packers defense holds the edge in explosive run rate, stuff rate, line yards per carry.
The Packers offense ranks 17th in EPA per play (−0.00); the Texans defense ranks 24th (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Packers edges: explosive pass rate, explosive play rate. The Texans defense holds the edge in passing success rate, explosive run rate, opportunity rate.
Luck check: the Texans have been a bit lucky (+1.2 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Packers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps, 2 more than a typical game.