Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: Week 18 preview

The Cleveland Browns (5-2) visit the Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Browns offense ranks 24th in EPA per play (−0.04); the Bengals defense ranks 11th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Browns edges: explosive pass rate. The Bengals defense holds the edge in sack rate, stuff rate, havoc rate.
The Bengals offense ranks 6th in EPA per play (+0.11); the Browns defense ranks 9th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Bengals edges: opportunity rate, rushing success rate, line yards per carry. The Browns defense holds the edge in havoc rate, explosive pass rate.
Luck check: the Browns have been a bit unlucky (−0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Bengals have been a bit lucky (+1.0 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps, 3 fewer than a typical game.