Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers: Week 18 preview

The Detroit Lions (4-2) visit the Green Bay Packers (4-3) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Lions offense ranks 3rd in EPA per play (+0.14); the Packers defense ranks 12th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Lions edges: rushing success rate, non-explosive EPA per play, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Packers defense holds the edge in stuff rate, havoc rate, explosive pass rate.
The Packers offense ranks 17th in EPA per play (−0.00); the Lions defense ranks 32nd (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Packers edges: explosive play rate, explosive pass rate, EPA per dropback. The Lions defense holds the edge in opportunity rate, line yards per carry, rushing success rate.
Luck check: the Lions have been lucky (+3.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Packers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 136 total snaps, 7 more than a typical game.