Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos: Week 18 preview

The Los Angeles Chargers (0-6) visit the Denver Broncos (5-2) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Chargers offense ranks 32nd in EPA per play (−0.21); the Broncos defense ranks 4th (−0.05 allowed). The Broncos defense holds the edge in EPA per play, EPA per dropback, passing success rate.
The Broncos offense ranks 23rd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Chargers defense ranks 10th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Broncos edges: havoc rate, stuff rate, sack rate. The Chargers defense holds the edge in 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, EPA per dropback, EPA per play.
Luck check: the Chargers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Broncos have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps, close to a typical game.