Early Downs › Week 18

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: Week 18 preview

• The Tennessee Titans (1-6) visit the Houston Texans (2-5) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Titans offense ranks 31st in EPA per play (−0.12); the Texans defense ranks 24th (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Titans edges: stuff rate, rushing success rate, EPA per designed run. The Texans defense holds the edge in passing success rate, average 3rd-down distance, non-explosive EPA per play.
• The Texans offense ranks 13th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Titans defense ranks 23rd (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Texans edges: havoc rate, explosive pass rate, yards per dropback. The Titans defense holds the edge in stuff rate, rushing success rate, explosive run rate.
• Luck check: the Texans have been a bit lucky (+1.2 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 128 total snaps, close to a typical game.