Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: Week 8 preview

The Chicago Bears (5-2) visit the Seattle Seahawks (4-3) on Mon, Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET. The line is Seahawks −3 with a total of 46.5.
The Bears offense ranks 11th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Seahawks defense ranks 2nd (−0.12 allowed). Biggest Bears edges: average 3rd-down distance. The Seahawks defense holds the edge in yards per dropback, early-down EPA, stuff rate.
The Seahawks offense ranks 25th in EPA per play (−0.04); the Bears defense ranks 14th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Seahawks edges: yards per dropback, explosive pass rate, opportunity rate. The Bears defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, non-explosive EPA per play.
Luck check: the Seahawks have been a bit lucky (+1.0 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, 2 fewer than a typical game.
Weather: Cloudy, 50°F at kickoff (feels like 44°), 5% chance of rain, wind N 6 mph gusting to 11.