Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: Week 8 preview

The Cleveland Browns (5-2) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) on Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Steelers −3.5 with a total of 39.5.
The Browns offense ranks 24th in EPA per play (−0.04); the Steelers defense ranks 7th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Browns edges: explosive pass rate. The Steelers defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, havoc rate.
The Steelers offense ranks 20th in EPA per play (−0.03); the Browns defense ranks 9th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Steelers edges: explosive run rate, line yards per carry, opportunity rate. The Browns defense holds the edge in yards per dropback, passing success rate, sack rate.
Luck check: the Browns have been a bit unlucky (−0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, close to a typical game.
Weather: Cloudy, 65°F at kickoff (feels like 60°), 1% chance of rain, wind SE 4 mph gusting to 8.