Early Downs › Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: Week 8 preview

• The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) visit the Denver Broncos (5-2) on Sun, Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET. The line is Chiefs −1.5 with a total of 40.5.
• The Chiefs offense ranks 7th in EPA per play (+0.10); the Broncos defense ranks 4th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Chiefs edges: explosive run rate, EPA per designed run, average 3rd-down distance. The Broncos defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate.
• The Broncos offense ranks 23rd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Chiefs defense ranks 5th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Broncos edges: sack rate, havoc rate. The Chiefs defense holds the edge in passing success rate, rushing success rate, EPA per play.
• Luck check: the Broncos have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps, close to a typical game.
• Weather: Cloudy, 60°F at kickoff (feels like 54°), 2% chance of rain, wind NW 10 mph gusting to 10.