Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: Week 8 preview

The Minnesota Vikings (6-0) visit the Detroit Lions (4-2) on Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Lions −3 with a total of 46.5.
The Vikings offense ranks 30th in EPA per play (−0.10); the Lions defense ranks 32nd (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Vikings edges: explosive run rate, explosive play rate, explosive pass rate. The Lions defense holds the edge in sack rate, rushing success rate, opportunity rate.
The Lions offense ranks 3rd in EPA per play (+0.14); the Vikings defense ranks 1st (−0.22 allowed). Biggest Lions edges: explosive run rate. The Vikings defense holds the edge in stuff rate, EPA per designed run, havoc rate.
Blitz watch: the Vikings blitz on 71% of dropbacks (1st most), but the Lions are one of the best offenses against the blitz (+0.38 EPA per dropback, 1st).
Luck check: the Vikings have been lucky (+2.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Lions have been lucky (+3.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps, close to a typical game.
Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.