Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders: Week 8 preview

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) visit the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) on Sun, Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET. The line is Commanders −6 with a total of 40.5.
The Eagles offense ranks 29th in EPA per play (−0.09); the Commanders defense ranks 25th (+0.07 allowed). The Commanders defense holds the edge in explosive play rate, early-down EPA, explosive run rate.
The Commanders offense ranks 18th in EPA per play (−0.01); the Eagles defense ranks 27th (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Commanders edges: havoc rate, sack rate, non-explosive EPA per play. The Eagles defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, explosive run rate, explosive play rate.
Blitz watch: the Commanders blitz on 46% of dropbacks (2nd most), and the Eagles struggle against it (−0.24 EPA per dropback, 29th).
Luck check: the Commanders have been lucky (+1.5 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps, 2 more than a typical game.
Weather: Cloudy, 55°F at kickoff (feels like 50°), 0% chance of rain, wind SE 5 mph gusting to 8.