Early Downs › Week 9

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers: Week 9 preview

• The Houston Texans (2-5) visit the Los Angeles Chargers (0-6) on Sun, Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET. The line is Texans −3.5 with a total of 42.5.
• The Texans offense ranks 13th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Chargers defense ranks 10th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Texans edges: havoc rate, explosive pass rate, yards per dropback. The Chargers defense holds the edge in 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, opportunity rate, rushing success rate.
• The Chargers offense ranks 32nd in EPA per play (−0.21); the Texans defense ranks 24th (+0.05 allowed). The Texans defense holds the edge in passing success rate, sack rate, explosive run rate.
• Luck check: the Texans have been a bit lucky (+1.2 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Chargers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps, close to a typical game.
• Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.