Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders: Week 9 preview

The Los Angeles Rams (3-4) visit the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) on Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Rams −5.5 with a total of 48.5.
The Rams offense ranks 9th in EPA per play (+0.06); the Commanders defense ranks 25th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Rams edges: rushing success rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, non-explosive EPA per play.
The Commanders offense ranks 18th in EPA per play (−0.01); the Rams defense ranks 6th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Commanders edges: early-down EPA, sack rate. The Rams defense holds the edge in 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, explosive play rate, EPA per dropback.
Luck check: the Rams have been unlucky (−1.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Commanders have been lucky (+1.5 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 133 total snaps, 4 more than a typical game.
Weather: Mostly clear, 58°F at kickoff (feels like 52°), 9% chance of rain, wind S 6 mph gusting to 9.