New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: Week 9 preview

The New York Giants (4-2-1) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) on Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Giants −1.5 with a total of 40.5.
The Giants offense ranks 14th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Eagles defense ranks 27th (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Giants edges: 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, EPA per designed run, non-explosive EPA per play. The Eagles defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, explosive run rate.
The Eagles offense ranks 29th in EPA per play (−0.09); the Giants defense ranks 16th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest Eagles edges: explosive run rate, sack rate. The Giants defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate, passing success rate, yards per dropback.
Blitz watch: the Giants blitz on 42% of dropbacks (3rd most), and the Eagles struggle against it (−0.24 EPA per dropback, 29th).
Luck check: the Giants have been a bit unlucky (−1.4 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps, close to a typical game.
Weather: Mostly clear, 58°F at kickoff (feels like 52°), 11% chance of rain, wind SW 4 mph gusting to 4.