Boston College at No. 11 Notre Dame: Week 11 preview

Boston College (4-5) visits No. 11 Notre Dame (8-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET. The line is Notre Dame −31.5 with a total of 52.5.
SP+ power ratings: Boston College -1.5 (78th), Notre Dame 25.2 (3rd). SP+ projects Notre Dame by 29.2, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Boston College offense ranks 94th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Notre Dame defense ranks 14th (−0.02 allowed). The Notre Dame defense holds the edge in EPA per play, sack rate, passing success rate.
The Notre Dame offense ranks 3rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.35); the Boston College defense ranks 55th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest Notre Dame edges: sack rate, power success rate, standard-downs success rate. The Boston College defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness.
Schedule: comparable so far (Boston College 44th toughest, opp. SP+ +5.5; Notre Dame 61st toughest, opp. SP+ +2.7), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps in regulation (-4.7 vs. the FBS average of 132), slower than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather watch: Cloudy, 41°F at kickoff (feels like 31°), 2% chance of rain, wind NW 15 mph gusting to 21.