No. 17 Houston at Colorado: Week 11 preview

No. 17 Houston (7-2) visits Colorado (3-6) on Fri, Nov 13 · 10:15 PM ET. The line is Houston −10.5 with a total of 48.5.
SP+ power ratings: Houston 13.3 (22nd), Colorado -4.3 (93rd). SP+ projects Houston by 15.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Houston offense ranks 9th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.28); the Colorado defense ranks 62nd (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Houston edges: EPA per pass, passing-downs success rate, passing success rate. The Colorado defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, power success rate.
The Colorado offense ranks 121st in FBS in EPA per play (−0.01); the Houston defense ranks 113th (+0.20 allowed). Biggest Colorado edges: passing success rate. The Houston defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush.
Schedule: comparable so far (Houston 15th toughest, opp. SP+ +8.8; Colorado 7th toughest, opp. SP+ +10.1), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 135 total snaps in regulation (+3.0 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Mostly clear, 51°F at kickoff (feels like 42°), 0% chance of rain, wind W 10 mph gusting to 10.