No. 10 Ole Miss at Oklahoma: Week 11 preview

No. 10 Ole Miss (6-3) visits Oklahoma (5-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is Ole Miss −2.5 with a total of 50.5.
SP+ power ratings: Ole Miss 14.7 (16th), Oklahoma 10.3 (33rd). SP+ projects Ole Miss by 1.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Ole Miss offense ranks 23rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.22); the Oklahoma defense ranks 6th (−0.06 allowed).
The Oklahoma offense ranks 114th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Ole Miss defense ranks 103rd (+0.18 allowed). Biggest Oklahoma edges: passing-downs success rate. The Ole Miss defense holds the edge in power success rate, stuff rate, second-level yards per carry.
Schedule: comparable so far (Ole Miss 8th toughest, opp. SP+ +9.9; Oklahoma 13th toughest, opp. SP+ +9.1), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps in regulation (in line with the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather watch: Clear, 64°F at kickoff (feels like 55°), 1% chance of rain, wind S 16 mph gusting to 16.