No. 18 Missouri at No. 2 Georgia: Week 11 preview

No. 18 Missouri (6-3) visits No. 2 Georgia (8-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is Georgia −13.5 with a total of 47.5.
SP+ power ratings: Missouri 14.2 (18th), Georgia 27.1 (2nd). SP+ projects Georgia by 15.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Missouri offense ranks 59th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.13); the Georgia defense ranks 16th (−0.01 allowed). Biggest Missouri edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Georgia defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate, rushing success rate, success rate.
The Georgia offense ranks 10th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the Missouri defense ranks 27th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Georgia edges: EPA per pass. The Missouri defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
Schedule: comparable so far (Missouri 30th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.7; Georgia 38th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.2), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps in regulation (in line with the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather watch: Clear, 51°F at kickoff (feels like 40°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 14 mph gusting to 26.