Purdue at No. 19 Iowa: Week 11 preview

Purdue (3-6) visits No. 19 Iowa (7-2) on Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Purdue 0.2 (69th), Iowa 12.4 (23rd). SP+ projects Iowa by 14.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Purdue offense ranks 51st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Iowa defense ranks 24th (+0.01 allowed). The Iowa defense holds the edge in power success rate, line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry.
The Iowa offense ranks 87th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.07); the Purdue defense ranks 134th (+0.30 allowed). Biggest Iowa edges: sack rate, passing success rate, stuff rate.
Schedule: comparable so far (Purdue 9th toughest, opp. SP+ +9.9; Iowa 39th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.2), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps in regulation (-5.5 vs. the FBS average of 132), slower than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Cloudy, 37°F at kickoff (feels like 30°), 0% chance of rain, wind SW 7 mph gusting to 7.