No. 21 South Carolina at Arkansas: Week 11 preview

No. 21 South Carolina (6-3) visits Arkansas (3-6) on Sat, Nov 14 · 7:45 PM ET. The line is South Carolina −8.5 with a total of 51.5.
SP+ power ratings: South Carolina 11.0 (28th), Arkansas -0.4 (71st). SP+ projects South Carolina by 8.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The South Carolina offense ranks 30th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Arkansas defense ranks 117th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest South Carolina edges: power success rate, EPA per rush, line yards per carry.
The Arkansas offense ranks 110th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the South Carolina defense ranks 83rd (+0.14 allowed). The South Carolina defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, passing explosiveness, explosiveness.
Schedule: comparable so far (South Carolina 24th toughest, opp. SP+ +8.1; Arkansas 5th toughest, opp. SP+ +11.2), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 134 total snaps in regulation (+2.1 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Clear, 44°F at kickoff (feels like 37°), 0% chance of rain, wind S 6 mph gusting to 6.