No. 13 Tennessee at Texas A&M: Week 11 preview

No. 13 Tennessee (7-2) visits Texas A&M (4-5) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is Tennessee −3 with a total of 43.5.
SP+ power ratings: Tennessee 17.9 (11th), Texas A&M 9.7 (34th). SP+ projects Tennessee by 5.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Tennessee offense ranks 57th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.13); the Texas A&M defense ranks 50th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest Tennessee edges: power success rate. The Texas A&M defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate.
The Texas A&M offense ranks 101st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Tennessee defense ranks 5th (−0.07 allowed). Biggest Texas A&M edges: power success rate. The Tennessee defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness, EPA per pass.
Schedule: comparable so far (Tennessee 29th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.8; Texas A&M 20th toughest, opp. SP+ +8.4), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 129 total snaps in regulation (-2.6 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit slower than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Clear, 65°F at kickoff (feels like 59°), 1% chance of rain, wind SW 8 mph gusting to 8.