No. 7 Texas at No. 14 LSU: Week 11 preview

No. 7 Texas (7-2) visits No. 14 LSU (6-3) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is LSU −4.5 with a total of 45.5.
SP+ power ratings: Texas 20.4 (8th), LSU 25.2 (3rd). SP+ projects LSU by 7.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Texas offense ranks 90th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.06); the LSU defense ranks 18th (−0.01 allowed). The LSU defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, sack rate, stuff rate.
The LSU offense ranks 29th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Texas defense ranks 12th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest LSU edges: power success rate. The Texas defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, passing explosiveness.
Schedule: comparable so far (Texas 4th toughest, opp. SP+ +11.9; LSU 16th toughest, opp. SP+ +8.8), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 135 total snaps in regulation (+3.4 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Clear, 64°F at kickoff (feels like 57°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 6 mph gusting to 7.