No. 15 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Week 11 preview

No. 15 Texas Tech (8-1) visits Oklahoma State (6-3) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is Oklahoma State −2.5 with a total of 68.5.
SP+ power ratings: Texas Tech 18.4 (9th), Oklahoma State 12.4 (23rd). SP+ projects Texas Tech by 3.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Texas Tech offense ranks 37th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.18); the Oklahoma State defense ranks 73rd (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Texas Tech edges: EPA per pass, explosiveness, passing success rate. The Oklahoma State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
The Oklahoma State offense ranks 26th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.22); the Texas Tech defense ranks 36th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Oklahoma State edges: passing success rate, passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Texas Tech defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
Schedule: comparable so far (Texas Tech 59th toughest, opp. SP+ +2.8; Oklahoma State 48th toughest, opp. SP+ +4.5), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 141 total snaps in regulation (+9.1 vs. the FBS average of 132), faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Clear, 62°F at kickoff (feels like 54°), 2% chance of rain, wind S 14 mph gusting to 15.