No. 9 BYU at Kansas: Week 12 preview

No. 9 BYU (7-2) visits Kansas (3-6) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: BYU 16.2 (17th), Kansas 2.0 (64th). SP+ projects BYU by 11.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
The BYU offense ranks 37th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.18); the Kansas defense ranks 49th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest BYU edges: sack rate, rushing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Kansas defense holds the edge in stuff rate, line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry.
The Kansas offense ranks 94th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.06); the BYU defense ranks 47th (+0.07 allowed). The BYU defense holds the edge in passing success rate, EPA per pass, power success rate.
Schedule: comparable so far (BYU 24th toughest, opp. SP+ +7.4; Kansas 34th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.2), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps in regulation (in line with the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Drizzle, 60°F at kickoff (feels like 61°), 33% chance of rain, wind SW 6 mph gusting to 14.