No. 12 Ohio State at Nebraska: Week 12 preview

No. 12 Ohio State (6-3) visits Nebraska (5-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Ohio State 24.0 (3rd), Nebraska 14.4 (23rd). SP+ projects Ohio State by 7.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Ohio State offense ranks 22nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.23); the Nebraska defense ranks 10th (−0.03 allowed). The Nebraska defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, line yards per carry.
The Nebraska offense ranks 46th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Ohio State defense ranks 23rd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest Nebraska edges: rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, sack rate. The Ohio State defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, EPA per pass, passing success rate.
Schedule: comparable so far (Ohio State 31st toughest, opp. SP+ +6.7; Nebraska 51st toughest, opp. SP+ +4.1), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 133 total snaps in regulation (+1.0 vs. the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Drizzle, 57°F at kickoff (feels like 55°), 29% chance of rain, wind NW 12 mph gusting to 20.