No. 2 Georgia at No. 21 South Carolina: Week 12 preview

No. 2 Georgia (8-1) visits No. 21 South Carolina (6-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Georgia 31.3 (1st), South Carolina 13.7 (28th). SP+ projects Georgia by 15.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Georgia offense ranks 10th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the South Carolina defense ranks 83rd (+0.14 allowed). Biggest Georgia edges: EPA per pass, passing-downs success rate, success rate. The South Carolina defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, explosiveness.
The South Carolina offense ranks 30th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Georgia defense ranks 15th (−0.01 allowed). Biggest South Carolina edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness, stuff rate. The Georgia defense holds the edge in sack rate, passing-downs success rate, rushing success rate.
Schedule: comparable so far (Georgia 50th toughest, opp. SP+ +4.2; South Carolina 28th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.9), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps in regulation (in line with the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather: Cloudy, 73°F at kickoff (feels like 71°), 12% chance of rain, wind SE 9 mph gusting to 21.