No. 16 Wake Forest at Georgia Tech: Week 12 preview

No. 16 Wake Forest (8-1) visits Georgia Tech (2-7) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Wake Forest 20.0 (12th), Georgia Tech -8.1 (99th). SP+ projects Wake Forest by 25.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Wake Forest offense ranks 1st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.37); the Georgia Tech defense ranks 125th (+0.24 allowed). Biggest Wake Forest edges: EPA per play, EPA per rush, second-level yards per carry.
The Georgia Tech offense ranks 86th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.07); the Wake Forest defense ranks 40th (+0.05 allowed). The Wake Forest defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, stuff rate, power success rate.
Schedule: Georgia Tech has faced the tougher slate so far (40th toughest, opp. SP+ +5.5, vs. 82nd toughest, opp. SP+ −1.3 for Wake Forest), a moderate edge.
Pace: projected for about 134 total snaps in regulation (+2.7 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.
Weather watch: Drizzle, 69°F at kickoff (feels like 67°), 13% chance of rain, wind SE 12 mph gusting to 26.