Auburn at No. 5 Alabama: Week 13 preview

Auburn (5-4) visits No. 5 Alabama (7-2) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD. The line is Alabama −10 with a total of 52.5.
SP+ power ratings: Auburn 2.8 (60th), Alabama 22.7 (8th). SP+ projects Alabama by 22.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Auburn offense ranks 67th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Alabama defense ranks 11th (−0.03 allowed). The Alabama defense holds the edge in sack rate, standard-downs success rate, EPA per pass.
The Alabama offense ranks 13th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.25); the Auburn defense ranks 68th (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Alabama edges: passing success rate, EPA per rush, EPA per pass. The Auburn defense holds the edge in sack rate.
Schedule: comparable so far (Auburn 13th toughest, opp. SP+ +9.6; Alabama 3rd toughest, opp. SP+ +12.4), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 135 total snaps in regulation (+3.8 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.