Baylor at No. 17 Houston: Week 13 preview

Baylor (6-3) visits No. 17 Houston (7-2) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Baylor 13.3 (31st), Houston 14.1 (25th). SP+ projects Houston by 3.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Baylor offense ranks 69th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Houston defense ranks 111th (+0.20 allowed). Biggest Baylor edges: power success rate, explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Houston defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush.
The Houston offense ranks 8th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.28); the Baylor defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). The Baylor defense holds the edge in explosiveness, rushing explosiveness, passing explosiveness.
Schedule: Houston has faced the tougher slate so far (18th toughest, opp. SP+ +8.6, vs. 69th toughest, opp. SP+ +1.3 for Baylor), a moderate edge.
Pace: projected for about 141 total snaps in regulation (+9.1 vs. the FBS average of 132), faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.