Boston College at No. 1 Miami: Week 13 preview

Boston College (4-5) visits No. 1 Miami (8-1) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Boston College -5.4 (95th), Miami 24.0 (3rd). SP+ projects Miami by 31.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Boston College offense ranks 93rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.06); the Miami defense ranks 85th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Boston College edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Miami defense holds the edge in sack rate, EPA per rush, rushing explosiveness.
The Miami offense ranks 4th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.35); the Boston College defense ranks 56th (+0.09 allowed). Biggest Miami edges: passing-downs success rate, power success rate, passing success rate. The Boston College defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
Schedule: comparable so far (Boston College 47th toughest, opp. SP+ +4.6; Miami 42nd toughest, opp. SP+ +5.3), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps in regulation (-1.2 vs. the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.