Early Downs College › Week 13

Cincinnati at No. 9 BYU: Week 13 preview

• Cincinnati (5-4) visits No. 9 BYU (7-2) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Cincinnati 3.0 (59th), BYU 16.2 (17th). SP+ projects BYU by 15.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Cincinnati offense ranks 25th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.22); the BYU defense ranks 47th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Cincinnati edges: passing-downs success rate, explosiveness.
• The BYU offense ranks 37th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.18); the Cincinnati defense ranks 119th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest BYU edges: sack rate, EPA per play, standard-downs success rate.
• Schedule: comparable so far (Cincinnati 22nd toughest, opp. SP+ +7.9; BYU 24th toughest, opp. SP+ +7.4), so their numbers compare on even footing.
• Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps in regulation (in line with the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.